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AC TITTICOCK'S WEEKLY FREE NBA BASKETBALL PICKS AND WINNERS
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AC's Wagercom 2007-2008 NBA Picks Season Record
Wins: 86 Losses: 86 Ties: 4
NBA Picks Winning Percentage: 50%
Record updated Saturdays and Mondays
Contact AC at ac@wagercom.com or post your questions/comments on the Wagercom Message Board
Read AC's Bio
AC's outlook on the NBA is an entertaining original column featured here at Wagercom. If you are prone to NBA betting or even just an NBA fan, make sure you come back often to read his articles and free NBA Basketball picks against the spread. AC will be providing us with a weekly outlook during the basketball season including free NBA Basketball picks on some of the weekend games each Friday and Saturday.
Our NBA expert AC has had 4 consecutive winning seasons picking NBA games against the spread making you money including the VIG. AC does this out of the kindness of his heart and for the naked pictures of your girlfriends you send him as a token of your appreciation. So enjoy the columns and the picks..
AC'S NBA 2007-2008 WEEK 22 FREE NBA PICKS & COLUMN:
With fewer than two weeks left in the NBA season, all but one playoff spot has been locked up (and yes we are assuming the Pacers don’t make the playoffs since they are three back with six games to go and they are a horrible team. Good job Jimmy O’Braindead, but I told you so). The one playoff spot remaining is in the West and it is between Dallas, Denver, and Golden Shower State. Today I will break down their remaining schedules to let you know which two teams will get in (and yes I know every NBA analyst has done this, but doing something and doing something well are completely different things, just ask Eliot Spitzer about his wife and I’m sure he’ll back me up).
As it stands, Dallas is currently in seventh place, ½ game up on Denver and 1 game up on Golden Shower State. Below is the breakdown:
Dallas Mavericks: 6 Games left to play: at Phoenix, Portland, and Seattle. Home against Seattle, Utah, and New Orleans.
The Mavericks missed a huge chance by blowing a big fourth quarter lead to the Lakers last night in LA. Of course they got a huge break in that Dirk Nowitzki came back in less than two weeks from an injury that looked almost Theismanesque. If they can go 4-2 in their last 6, that should at least get them in a tie for eighth place and since they have the seventh spot right now, they control their own destiny (and if I controlled my own destiny, I wouldn’t be sitting here typing this garbage, I’d be rocking a twobie while getting a blumpkin from Brooklyn Decker on a beach somewhere, but that’s just me).
The Mavericks should easily beat Seattle twice, so they need to go 2-2 in their other four games which may not be so easy. They will likely lose to Phoenix on the road tomorrow, but should handle the Jazz in Dallas on Thursday since the Jazz hate playing on the road as much as Alexander Hamilton hated Thomas Jefferson or the Evans’ hated Buffalo Butt. So that leaves them with a game at Portland and the final game of the year at home vs. New Orleans.
Portland is a team the Mavericks actually match-up well against. The Blazers have no one to guard Dirk and Brandon Roy is perpetually game to game. If the Mavericks bring playoff intensity to Portland, they should be able to claim victory. As for New Orleans at Dallas the last game of the year, it is possible the Whorenets will want to rest their starters for most of the game so Dallas should win that as well.
Based on the above, look for the Mavericks to go 4-2 or 5-1.
Denver Nuggets: 7 games left to play: at Seattle, LA Clippers, Golden Shower State, and Utah. Home against Sacramento, Houston, and Memphis
The Nuggets have one home game and then embark on a four game road trip and they are a paltry 15-22 on the road this year. They will lose at Utah but should win in Seattle and at the Clippers. Out of their three remaining home games, they should beat Memphis, but will lose one out of the two against Houston and Sacramento. That leaves them 4-2 with only a road game against Golden Shower State up in the air. Their season could really come down to that game and interestingly enough, the Warriors are only 25-12 at home, or about the same as Sacramento is, so the great Oakland home court advantage is not quite there this year.
However, the Nuggets will likely blow the Warriors game because they just don’t have the depth and seemingly always lose the important games. Iverson has heart, but the rest of the team has a little bit of Tin Man Chris Webber in them.
So mark the Nuggets down for a 4-3 record over their final seven.
Golden Shower State Warriors: 6 games left to play: at New Orleans and Phoenix. Home against Sacramento, Denver, LA Clippers, and Seattle.
This Warriors team is not quite as good as last year’s squad, but just good enough to tease people into thinking they can pull off an upset. They only have two road games left but they are against two of the top four teams in the West. They will get smoked in New Orleans but in an upset will win in Phoenix.
That leaves them with four games at home where they will go 3-1, choking against Sacramento on Tuesday as the Kings play defense and have someone just as crazy as Stephen Jackson in Ron Artest to even out the psycho factor.
That would leave the Warriors 4-2 over their final six games.
Conclusion: The Mavericks finish with either 51 or 52 wins, the Nuggets finish with 50 wins, and Golden State finishes with 50 wins. So the Nuggets and Warriors will tie leaving it up to the NBA tie-breaker rules.
In event of a tie, the NBA rules state that the team with the most baby momma’s gets in to the playoffs since they will need the playoff money for all of the child support. Seeing as how the Warriors have Stephen Jackson who I’m putting down for 5 baby mommas (just a hunch) and Al Harrington (at least 3), while the Nuggets have Camby (at least 3), Kenyon Martin (2ish), and Chucky Atkins (put him down for 4, I mean he’s been in the NBA since 1972), I think the Nuggets would win this tie breaker and get the 8th playoff spot, unless of course Monta Ellis started early.
Actually, the first tie break is head to head record and based on my prediction of the Nuggets losing one more game to the Warriors, they would be 2-2 against each other. Since the Nuggets and Warriors are in different divisions, the next tie-break would be their winning percentage within the conference where the Nuggets will have won 31 games while the Warriors will only have won only 30 games against the West.
So there you have it, due to the baby momma rule (or the actual NBA tie-break system, take your pick), the Mavericks and Nuggets will claim the final two spots.
FRIDAY NIGHT NBA PICKS
The season is coming to an end so it’s time to make a run here to finish in the money. This weekend will redeem the whole season so bet big and bet often because we’re all getting paid.
Minnesota at Phoenix Over 221:
The TerribleWolves™ have been playing better of late, or to be more precise, their opponents have been playing worse. Detroit rested three starters against Minnesota earlier this week and teams like Memphis simply don’t show up to play when Minnesota is on the schedule due to draft lottery implications. Given that, it is hard to give the TerribleWolves™ 16 points even though Phoenix is as superior to them as Bar Refaeli is to Tina Yothers. With the expectations that Phoenix may rest some players when the blow out begins, the safer bet is the over 221. If you can tease the over and the Suns, by all means do it.
Houston at Seattle Under 199.5:
This is a bit of a difficult game to gauge as the Sonics are just piss poor and the Rockets are in the process of finding themselves again after playing so so since their big winning streak. The Rockets do play defense and the Sonics do love to miss shots, so the under seems like the smart bet, which is what worries me. This bet makes too much sense so buyer beware. Just root for the Rockets to slow the game down and McGrady to only play 25 minutes.
Golden State -10 at Memphis:
Both teams like to score, unfortunately for Memphis, only one of them is actually good at scoring. The Warriors need this victory like Shawn Kemp needs a vasectomy while the Grizzlies need this victory like Shawn Kemp needs another kid. In other words, we have two teams with completely opposite motivations. Take the Warriors and root for Baron Davis to run, run, and run.
New York at New Orleans -16:
I am really doing this for sentimental reasons since Isiah won’t be around much longer for me to pick against. That said, giving 16 points is not something I like to do. The Whorenets are going to have to really get up for his game to cover but they are at home where they have simply been destroying teams. Plus the Knicks gave up about two years ago and now try as hard on the court as Hillary Clinton does to satisfy Bill Clinton in bed. Take the Whorenets and root for their bench to keep applying the pressure.
SATURDAY FREE NBA PICKS:
Atlanta at Philadelphia Under 205:
These two teams played last night in Atlanta and the Hawks lost by 5 with 213 total points being scored. We’ve learned several things about the NBA in the past few years one of them being don’t draft the tall white American college star (you hear that whoever is going to be dumb enough to draft Mark Madsen, I mean Tyler Hansborough, you hear that?) and the other being always pick the opposite of what happened the night before when two teams play each other on back to back nights. That is why we are taking the under here since they beat the over 206 last night. The Sixers are a much better team than the Hawks and not even the Hakws players can believe they are going to make the playoffs. That said, I hate giving six since the Sixers could lay an egg tonight, so take the under and watch the turnovers fly.
Toronto at New Jersey Over 202:
I know Vince Carter might not play as the sand in his vagina has apparently built up again and I know that neither team has any motivation right now since the Raptors have clinched a playoff spot and the Nets have clinched their butt cheeks. That said, the Raptors love to score like Rosie O’Donnell in a Dunkin’ Donuts. Take the over and just hope the Raptors don’t completely rest their starters.
Orlando at Cleveland -2:
I am taking the Cavs and giving the points until they cover, I just don’t care anymore, this strategy is eventually going to work. In all seriousness, this is a nationally televised game and LeDong loves the spotlight. He should demolish the Magic today as the announcers will no doubt be hyping Dwight Howard so LeDong will need to reaffirm his dominance. The game will actually be reasonably close, but in the fourth quarter, LeDong should take over. Give the points and root for this to be the game in which Wally Szczerbiak gets it going (and I say that every game).
Sacramento +10.5 at Denver:
I have changed this pick twice now. I wanted to take the Wizards and the points against the Bulls but Jamison is likely out. Then I was going to take the Bobcats and 9 points against the Paul Pierce-less Celtics, since Charlotte has given Boston fits this year, but my gut just wouldn’t let me do it (note to the reader, take the Bobcats this game as the brain always beats the gut). So now I am taking the Kings +10.5 as Kenyon Martin is not playing for the Nuggets and the Kings rarely get blown out, especially when Artest plays. The Nuggets will win but the game should be closer than 10 if the Kings’ players are healthy (and everyone should be except Beno Udrih).
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