 |
AC TITTICOCK'S WEEKLY FREE NBA BASKETBALL PICKS AND WINNERS
|
AC's Wagercom 2008-2009 NBA Picks Season Record
Wins: 116 Losses: 86 Ties: 0
NBA Picks Winning Percentage: 57%
Contact AC at ac(at sign)wagercom.com or post your questions/comments on the Wagercom Message Board
Read AC's Bio
AC's outlook on the NBA is an entertaining original column featured here at Wagercom. If you are prone to NBA betting or even just an NBA fan, make sure you come back often to read his articles and free NBA Basketball picks against the spread. AC will be providing us with a weekly outlook during the basketball season including free NBA Basketball picks on some of the weekend games each Friday and Saturday.
Our NBA expert AC has had 6 consecutive winning seasons picking NBA games against the spread making you money including the VIG. AC does this out of the kindness of his heart and for the naked pictures of your girlfriends you send him as a token of your appreciation. So enjoy the columns and the picks..
AC'S NBA 2008-2009 NBA FREE PICKS PLAYOFFS WEEK 3:
As noted in my pick for Friday night (which won you all money), I am having a tough time dealing with the Celtics’ loss Thursday night in Game 6. Many people have pointed out Doc Rivers’ decision to single handedly destroy the Celtics by putting Tony Allen into the game for the final 3 minutes when Boston was up by 5 points. I could write novels about the inanity of Doc’s move but I have to digress for now, it hurts too much. I close my eyes and I still see the bad man touching me so I am going to have leave this for another time when the wounds aren’t so fresh. I will share these three quick points though:
1. Why would you put a player in for crunch time of a potential series ending game when you had not played him in crunch time all season and when you had barely even played him in the series?
2. Doc told the press that he made the move for defense since Boston didn’t need to score any more points, they just needed to defend. First of all, has anyone ever heard of the prevent defense in the NBA and has the prevent defense ever worked in the NFL? Secondly, instead of trying to keep the Bulls from scoring, if the Celtics would have just scored 2 more buckets, the game would have been over. Doc’s logic there was as sound as a teenager girl who thinks taking it in the pooper still makes her a virgin.
3. When you have just dictated the pace to the point of an 18-0 run, why would you take out one of the key guys from that run (Glen Davis) who was playing the best basketball of his life? So what if the Bulls went small. Boston could have posted Davis up on the smaller defender and scored at least two more times which is all they would have needed. Even if Davis’s man scored on him every time, trading buckets would have led to a win.
I need to stop there before I break out into hives and wind up rocking back and forth in the fetal position promising to be good.
Instead of further highlighting the incompetence of Doc Rivers (who I will never, ever forgive), I will break down Round 2 of the Western Conference playoffs since Round 2 in the East has yet to be decided.
Dallas vs Denver:
As I discussed last week, I couldn’t have been more wrong about this Denver team. They have just about everything a contending team should have:
1. A cold blooded scorer in Carmelo Anthony.
2. A guy willing to step up and be an alpha dog in Chauncey Billups. He may not always deliver but he will take the big shot, he will not get flustered, and he will control the pace of the game.
3. Two defensive stoppers and top level role players in Kenyon Martin and Dahntay Jones. Martin has surprisingly accepted his role as an at best third fiddle and Jones has surprisingly accepted his role as an NBA player.
4. A sixth man who can come in and put up points in a hurry. JR Smith does a lot of things poorly (like play defense, pass, and seem to care) but he does one thing very well and that is put the ball in the basket. Having a guy who can come in and be a threat to drop 20 in a quarter is a big confidence booster. He’s a taller, more athletic Vinnie “The Microwave” Johnson.
5. The best one testicled player in the league. Nene has clearly stepped up his game and been a solid contributor. Marginal centers all over the league are thinking of having a nut removed to see if it will improve their games like it has Nene’s.
6. An experienced coach in George Karl. I know he’s never won anything, but he is at least average and that is more than I can say for Doc Rivers.
7. An energy big man off the bench in Chris Andersen. The Birdman flies all over the court like a pinball on tilt or like a coke fiend trying to catch a rooster. He rebounds, blocks shots, and fires up his teammates.
When you compare that to Dallas who has Dirk Nowitzki, a rejuvenated Josh Howard (and by rejuvenated I mean “likely off the sticky icky”), Jason Terry, a 98 year old point guard, and whole bunch of nothing else, you should get a Denver win. Dallas is playing their best basketball of the season right now but they just don’t have the fire power to take 4 out of 7 from Denver.
Prediction: Denver in 6
Houston vs LA Lakers:
This has all of the makings of a good series since the Rockets are the second best team in the West. The only problem is that the Lakers are just too deep and too talented and the Rockets just won’t be able to keep up offensively. I know the Rockets are a chic or trendy pick because they are “scrappy” and hustle and play the game the right way. That is all well and good but in the NBA, talent always comes first and the Lakers are oozing with talent like Paris Hilton is oozing with herpes.
Here is a quick analogy. I am sure you all remember The Facts of Life. There was an ongoing debate most of us had between Jo and Blair (ok, there were a few chubby chasers probably into Natalie and some pedophiles into the younger Tootie, but let’s leave those alone for now).
Jo was the cool one and was down to earth and was probably attractive behind her tomboy looks and persona. Blair was the rich hot spoiled prissy blond chick who none of us could have because she was only into wealthy guys and was probably too prude and uptight anyway. Many of us tried to convince ourselves that Jo was the one we would date first because we could relate to her and her blue collar roots and she was a potential diamond in the rough. The thing is, we were all deluding ourselves. There is absolutely no way anyone would turn down a night with Blair who was a full figured blonde for a night with the boyish Jo. It just wasn’t happening.
In the Houston-LA series, the Rockets are Jo and the Lakers are Blair. Yeah, we relate to the Rockets because they are tough and scrappy and might put out faster, but at the end of the day the Lakers are what we all want because they have the blonde hair (Gasol), the bigger tits (Bynum and Odom), and the money (Kobe). And remember, blonde hair and big tits and cash trump everything.
Prediction: Lakers in 5
FRIDAY FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
Atlanta at Miami Under 182.5:
This is a very hard pick to for me because I am still despondent over last night’s festivities. Doc Rivers single handedly killed the Boston Celtics last night by inserting Tony Allen into the line-up for crunch time. I really can not express how bad of a move this was, though I may try in my column this weekend. I really can’t deal with it right now, it is so upsetting. That said, just know I will never ever ever forgive Doc Rivers.
As for this game, the Hawks, who already have trouble scoring, are going to be starting Solomon Jones instead of the injured Al Horford plus Marvin Williams is still out. I can list everything I know about Solomon Jones in two words: he sucks. This can’t be good for Atlanta. That said, the Heat are really not very good either. Other than Dwyane Wyane Wade they have no one they can count on to score and the Hawks are going to have to slow the game down more than usual due to their lack of players. Atlanta likely covers, but the under seems like a better bet as we know these two teams don’t have the offensive fire power while we do know that the refs could send Wade to the line enough times for Miami to cover. Take the under and be glad Doc Rivers is not coaching your team.
SATURDAY FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
Chicago at Boston Over 195.5:
Dear Reader,
I know it is my job to win you free money. While it is not the best job in the world since I win you money and you don’t pay me, it is a rewarding job, like teaching kindergartners to swear since it warms your heart forever. Anyway, I really want to take the Bulls +6.5. There is absolutely no way the Celtics blow them out, no way. In fact I think there is a 75% chance the Bulls win. Boston is tired, injured, and is led by a mentally challenged coach. I just don’t think the Celtics have another game in them. That said, I can not separate the fan in me from the NBA’s leading handicapper with a 57% winning % against the spread (seriously, scour the net, find someone with a higher winning % or a six year record of being over 50%. You will have an easier time finding a penis in Ellen Degeneres than finding a more successful NBA handicapper than AC, and he is doing it all for free.). Therefore, I can not bet against the Celtics here, I just can’t do it. So feel free to take the Bulls +6.5 as my pick of the day. If Boston were any other team, that would be my gift to you.
Since I can’t in good conscience take the Bulls, I’ll let you all win by taking the over. Boston can not play defense anymore. Their front court has less depth than a Dane Cook stand up routine. Chicago can get to the basket whenever they want, especially if Kendrick Perkins gets into foul trouble. The only way Boston can compete in this game is if Rondo pushes the ball and that will lead to the over. So take the over, and hope Paul Pierce finds his shot and gets more than the 2 assists per game he is averaging.
Wagercom.com recommends sportsbook.com for all your sports wagering. Click here to join now and receive a generous sign up bonus!
contact AC at ac(at sign)wagercom.com or post your questions/comments on the Wagercom Message Board
To sign up to receive the Wagercom.com Free Newsletter click here.
|
