 |
AC TITTICOCK'S WEEKLY FREE NBA BASKETBALL PICKS AND WINNERS
|
AC's Wagercom 2009-2010 NBA Picks Season Record
Wins: 58 Losses: 60 Ties: 2
NBA Picks Winning Percentage: 49%
Contact AC at ac(at sign)wagercom.com or post your questions/comments on the Wagercom Message Board
Read AC's Bio
AC's outlook on the NBA is an entertaining original column featured here at Wagercom. If you are prone to NBA betting or even just an NBA fan, make sure you come back often to read his articles and free NBA Basketball picks against the spread. AC will be providing us with a weekly outlook during the basketball season including free NBA Basketball picks on some of the weekend games each Friday and Saturday.
Our NBA expert AC has had 6 consecutive winning seasons picking NBA games against the spread making you money including the VIG. AC does this out of the kindness of his heart and for the naked pictures of your girlfriends you send him as a token of your appreciation. So enjoy the columns and the picks..
AC'S FREE NBA PICKS AND COLUMN WEEK 15:
We’re almost at the All-Star break which means the trade deadline is approaching fast and furiously, like a coke dealer to Lindsay Lohan’s residence. There are so many players rumored to be on the trading block in salary dumps that AC has absolutely no idea what is going to happen. AC has a better chance of accurately predicting the number of herpes currently residing on Paris Hilton’s lady parts than he does of figuring out who is going to be traded for whom. The big names on the block are Amar’e Stoudemire, Monta Ellis, Antawn Jamison, Caron Butler, Ray Allen, Andre Igoudala, and the Bulls pu pu platter of Kirk Hinrich, Luol Deng, and John Salmons. There are two weeks until this is all settled so until then, AC will pretend nothing is going to happen and continue to evaluate the NBA teams as they are because hypothetical trade talk is more boring to AC than the World Cup (and for the record watching two minutes of the last World Cup put AC into such a catatonic state that it took two defibrillator shots to wake him up).
This week AC is going to try a new feature called “Did you know?” which will be self explanatory as you read it.
Did you know that the Utah Jazz have won seven in a row and nine of their last ten to climb into third place in the West? Not only are they streaking, but they are doing it without Carlos Boozer who is out with his yearly case of vaginitis (he apparently caught it in late December when facing Vince Carter but it took a while to fester). Paul Millsap has stepped into Boozer’s spot and averaged 23 points and 7 boards as a starter. The most bizarre part about that is not the solid performance he is putting up, but that he was having such a crappy year coming off of the bench. He is playing 50% more minutes as a starter, yet his stats have gone up by 100%. Perhaps playing with the first unit gets him more open looks. The Jazz are good enough to lose a tightly contested playoff series in a 7th game as they still lack that scoring wing every team needs.
Did you know that Cleveland has put their early season difficulties behind them and are going through the league like a young Peter North went through Hollywood runaways in the 1980s (and that is calmly, efficiently, and with a lot of ejaculate)? The Cavs now sport a ten game winning streak and a 6.5 game lead over second place in the East. AC said the Cavs would rebound after their rocky start and they certainly have done that. Since starting the season 3 and 3, Cleveland is 37 and 8 which is near a 70 win pace for a season and they are currently doing it without their top two point guards as Mo Williams and Delonte West are injured. They’ve had some nice contributions from JJ Hickson lately and Boobie Gibson is showing his tats by no longer wearing a warm-up jersey and filling in for the injured PGs. But in the end, this is all about LeDong. He is more dominant than Euclid was to mathematicians in ancient Greece (“I said Isosceles bitches”). LeDong is shooting 50% from the field and averaging 29 points, 7 rebounds, and 8 assists. Not only that, but he plays incredible defense. This could be the year that LeDong starts his reign.
Did you know that the NJ Nets are on pace for the worst record in the history of the NBA? Ok, you probably knew that one. They Nets are 4 and 45. How is that even possible? They have a one-time all-star pg and a potential top 5 center and yet they still suck. AC has been through this before but their supporting cast is really not too bad with Courtney Lee (who is proving to be overrated), Yi Dingaling (who is now underrated), and a bunch of wily veterans including Kris Humphries who is finally putting up numbers now that he is getting to play (cough fantasy sleeper cough). There have been teams with much less talent than this like the 1997-1998 Detroit Pistons or those awful early 1990s Nuggets teams, so why do the Nets suck so badly? No really, why is it? AC is flummoxed?
Did you know there is a woman named Jessica Jane Clement who is really fucking hot (link only marginally safe for work) in an “I know I am going to get some kind of std if I touch you and I know you have done this before many times” kind of way?
Did you know that Al “The Big Lazy” Jefferson set the record for highest losing percentage for one player in NBA history (ok, that might not be a fact, but it is certainly factual enough to be a thesis)? With him on the court, his teams have gone 133 and 246 during his career for a 35% winning percentage which equates to 29 wins over an entire NBA season. But if you take out his rookie year where he hardly contributed to the 39 and 32 record the Celtics had in games that he played, his teams have a 94 and 214 record with him on the court for a .305 winning percentage which equates to 25 wins over an NBA season. Even more telling is if you throw out his first two years as he only started 8 out of 130 games, and just look at the last 4 years where he has started 240 of the 249 games he has played, his teams have gone 71 and 178 for a 28.5% winning percentage which equates to 23 wins a year. I defy anyone to find a player with six years of experience with a worse total team record, much less a border line/never-will-be all-star.
See Chart below:
Did you know Chauncey Billups set his career high for scoring last night with 39 points? In that game he went for 21 in the third quarter alone. Billups has played in 879 games and never broken 40 points and yet even Acie Earl once dropped 40 points in an NBA game (no really, he did). That is amazing to me.
Did you know that PEDs in the NBA are actually pretty important? Look at Rashard Lewis who was suspended at the beginning of the season for using a banned substance. Compare his stats from the previous 8 years to his current stats. Sure he just turned 30, but his numbers are all markedly down. He is averaging fewer rebounds, points, and assists despite playing only 2 fewer minutes per game. One could argue that Vince Carter has taken away some of his touches but one could also argue that if my mouth were my ass I could better talk shit. Sure Lewis is taking two fewer shots per game, but that doesn’t explain the drop in rebounds or assists. The fact is that PEDs make a difference but of course no one cares about that because this isn’t baseball.
Friday NBA Free Picks:
New Jersey at Boston Under 190:
Sure, the potential is there for a 120-75 Boston victory which would screw us on the under but the Celtics offense right now is running as smoothly as OJ Simpson’s marriage. Plus Paul Pierce is still out so the Celtics most reliable scorer is the rapidly decaying Ray Allen who is shooting three pointers as well as Martha Coakley led her Senate campaign. The Nets flat out suck, so as long as they can keep Boston under 100 points, this should hit the under.
Houston +5 at Memphis:
Just because I still refuse to believe in the Grizzlies. The Rockets are a smart team which is exactly the type of team the full of shit Grizzlies have trouble playing. The Rockets should be able to slow the game down enough to at least make it close if not win outright. Take the Rockets and root for Aaron Brooks to shoot over 42%.
Phoenix -3 at Sacramento:
The Kings suck, what more do you need to know? And yes, this is why I get paid the big bucks. Ok, the Kings have been playing teams close which means they are due for a break out, but the Suns have way too much offense for Sacramento to shut them down. Therefore, the Kings are going to need to put up 120 to win and as much as I love Omri Casspi, it’s just not happening. Take the Suns and root for Channing Frye to hit at least four three-pointers.
Milwaukee at New York Under 201.5:
My gut tells me to take the Knicks and give the two points but Brandon Jennings wants to stick it to NY for passing over him in the draft for some guy named Jordan Hill. That gives me just a bit of doubt as Jennings could rally the Bucks behind him. That said, The Bucks should play some defense and the Knicks haven’t been running teams out of the Garden (except for the Wizards and the TerribleWolves™, but those don’t really count). Take the under and watch to see if Jennings delivers.
Saturday Free NBA Picks:
Memphis -2.5 at Minnesota:
The Grizz proved to everyone that they were full of shit last night by losing big to the Rockets in Memphis (which AC predicted). Luckily, this full of shit team gets to play a piece of shit team tonight in the TerribleWolves™ and we all know being full of shit is better than actually being shit.
Philadelphia at Houston -5.5:
The Sixers are coming off of a big road win in New Orleans which would be more impressive had either of New Orleans starting guards been playing (Chris Paul out with a knee and Marcus Thornton out with a back. And Thornton has been killing it as a starter for you fantasy players out there). Either way, the Sixers are not winning back to back games on the road and the Rockets are the kind of wily team that is smart enough not to have a let down game after a big win in Memphis last night. I’d prefer if this line were 3 points, but Houston could put Philly away early as the only thing confusing about the Sixers is Eddie Jordan’s player rotations (seriously, would it kill you to play Lou Williams, Marreesse Speights, and Thaddeus Young? You know, you’re actual future?). Take the Rockets and root for Aaron Brooks to control his turnovers.
Oklahoma City at Golden State Over 215.5:
Yeah, it’s a lot of points but these two teams love to score. Monta vs. Durant should be a great back and forth match-up with each potentially going for 50 (though Monta will actually have to do it against a team playing defense). AC hates taking the over in games like this but sometimes you just have to go with the consensus.
LA Lakers -2.5 at Portland:
The Blazers are absolutely ridiculous. They keep winning even though their team has had more injuries than Kirstie Ally has had big beef injections (and I don’t entirely know what that means, but she does love beef). You have to give Nate McMillan a ton of credit as well as the players for not wallowing in their misfortune. That said, this Lakers team is pretty good and should be motivated after losing at home to Denver last night and by trying to break a nine game losing streak in Portland. Sure the Blazers are likely going to have Brandon Roy back tonight but Juwan Howard and some guy named Pendergraph are not going to be able to stop Bynum and Gasol. Take the Lake Show and hope Kobe’s ankle holds up.
Wagercom.com recommends sportsbook.com for all your sports wagering. Click here to join now and receive a generous sign up bonus!
contact AC at ac(at sign)wagercom.com or post your questions/comments on the Wagercom Message Board
To sign up to receive the Wagercom.com Free Newsletter click here.
|
