|
|
JIGGY'S FREE NFL FOOTBALL PICKS
|
Independently ranked the number one NFL picking site in 2007 (by BigGuy Sports Network)
Jiggy's 2008 Football Picks Season Record
Wins: 33 | Losses: 32 | Ties 3:
NFL Free Picks Winning Percentage: 50%
Contact Jiggy at jiggy@wagercom.com or post your questions/comments on the Wagercom Message Board
For those of you new to this football betting picks column, our expert NFL football handicapper Jiggy has had a money making 2003-2004, 2004-2005, 2005-2006, and 2007-2008 NFL season (where he picked over 60% correctly). Besides one down year (2006-07) Jiggy has posted a winning record on both his NFL football free picks and NFL Lock of the Week against the spread. Each week during the NFL season Jiggy will share his free winning NFL football picks as well as his entertaining take on the current happenings of the NFL.
2008 FREE NFL PICKS WILDCARD WEEKEND
The End of the Beginning or the Beginning of the End…
What a year? I mean am I right or am I right? We have seen more collapses than the last time Jiggy chaperoned a high school prom. (After re-reading this sentence, the joke doesn’t make sense – unless you had actually been at the last high school prom that Jiggy chaperoned. There were allegations of roofies being placed in comely young ladies drinks – but I suspect this may have been a coincidence. I am sure that other proms, what with the fear of the unknown of graduating and the having to stand up for long periods of time in high heels that many girls would have collapsed without the added incentive caused by the Jiggy Cocktail. Not the Jiggy cock-tail, that is what came home with Jiggy that night. But I digress…)
Some of the notable collapses include, Bear Stearns, Fanny and Freddy (sounds like a British porn film, but they are actually pseudo government agencies that engage in the now defunct art of buying, repackaging and insuring residential mortgages), Lehman Brothers (Jiggy suspects that if their name sounded less Jew-y than they too would have been bailed out by the government like Bear, Fanny, Freddy…), AIG, The Denver Broncos and myriad others.
So let me break it down for you right now.
If you had invested $100 on 1/1/08 in the following investments, this is what you would have had left…
1) The S&P 500 – down ~40% for the year. This would have resulted in roughly $60 in your account. I will disregard dividends for the year as they would likely have been reinvested and fallen as well – or you could think of them as transaction costs and management fees.
 2) LEH – if you invested in Lehman, you would now have zero dollars and zero cents. Additionally you would feel like a jackass. I do feel terrible for all of the employees that were encouraged to keep their retirement funds in LEH stock. (Though, if you work in finance, you might know a little bit about diversification.)
3) Bear Stearns – I think you would now have a few shares of JPM stock or you would have gotten a kick in the balls and a JPM desk set. You can ask your financial advisor. The point is that whatever you got, it ain’t worth much.
4) AIG – you can imagine that if this isn’t worth zero right now, it will be soon.
5) And finally, if you invested $100 with Jiggy, you would now have $192. This assumes a $100 bet per game with a 4% vig on losses. This also doesn’t assume that any leverage is used. All of these other investments (save the S&P 500) wither had explicit leverage (margin) or implicit leverage (these firms lever up their own investments). If you add leverage to the Jiggy investment, its ROE would be vastly higher (already on a non-leveraged basis, it is a 92% return). And, keep in mind; Jiggy’s picks have exactly a zero covariance with any of these other investments. So it is great diversification for the rest of one’s portfolio.
 So what am I getting at with all of this? First, I think Jiggy deserves some props for only being outperformed by John Paulson (no relation to secretary Paulson) and a few very special friends of Jiggy’s at Mitchell Brothers. I don’t know how you calculate their initial investment – perhaps their time and energy and fees spent on exercise, skanky clothes and beautification surgery – but those things yield more than Jiggy dollars, they lead to a longer, better life… But this is really a topic for another time.
What Jiggy is getting at is that the government should stop sending billions and billions of dollars to bail out shabby firms (the auto companies, the financial companies, banks and hedge funds (oh, it will come soon)) and they should just wire Jiggy a cool $800 billion, let him ‘manage it’ and I bet the following things would happen.
1) There would be a hooker explosion in Vegas. You think hedge funds pay large bonuses, let Jiggy have that bailout money and I will show you the richest, happiest bunch of entertainers that the world has ever seen. You here that mr. sultan of brunei? You don’t treat your women right. Jiggy will.
2) Jiggy will earn a great return on that money (sans leverage). Let’s just say that I returned less than 92%. Let’s say I have an off year and I only return 50%. I will have created (from scratch) $400 billion dollars. And then I could fix the budget crisis and create jobs (adult jobs).
So, write a letter to your congressperson, write an email to your senator. Let’s let Jiggy save the world.
JIGGY'S FREE NFL PICKS
Wacky week. We have all the visiting teams as favorites (the Arizona Dirty Birdies have just become slight favorites… but you get the points.)
The Dirty South (hotlanta) @ The Dirty South West (Arizona) – The Dirty South (Atlanta) +1
The fact that the Cardinals made the playoffs at all is a joke and a half, but I guess that someone had to win the NFC West. But limping in to the playoffs with Kurt Warner at the helm is a disaster. Sure, he has done it before, and sure, he loves the lord, but that just ain’t enough. The wacky birdies from the South have had a tougher schedule and they have performed better in it. They are battle tested and world weary. Look for the running game of the Falcoooons to be too much for the aging Arizona squad.
Indy @ The Diego – Indy – Indy pick ‘em
Wow. I am jazzed for this game. Editorial note, being jizzed for a game is totally different. This game is a rematch from playoffs gone by. Gayton Manning returning to form while Gill Rivers tries to salvage a tough year. There are the subplots of LDT getting older while the Indy defense has to find an answer anyway. I am excited for this game. The way it will unfold is that the expert workings of Payton will just be too much for the Chargers. The Bolts, like the Cardinals came in through a disastrous division and will have to prove that they are better than they’ve looked all year. I don’t think they can do it.
Baltimore @ Miami – Baltimore -3
Another great game. And I think we will see some serious hitting in this game. I have to believe that our friend RayRay will solve the riddle that is Chad Pennington. I am on the Ravens.
Campbell’s Chunky Soup (philly) @ The Great White North (minny) – Philly -3
OMG. LOL. ROFLMAO. This game is going to be off the chain. Or is it chizzle? I like Andy Reid (in spite of or because of his down syndrome). I like that fat slob, Donny Mac, I like brian westbrook (how that guy hasn’t had a career ending injury is beyond me, I mean he weighs like 180 lbs). Daddy loves Desean Jackson (which in Iroquois means of the sean). And I can’t get excited about Tarvaris Jackson and it also seems that AP (the most talented player in the NFL) has a slight case of the fumble fingers. So let’s take the Eagles and fly eagles fly!
Many of my fans ask me where I wager. I have a gambling problem so I bet on everything from the ponies to how long (in inches) my excrement is. But I have been a proud customer to superbook.com for some time. They have good lines, great promotions, many betting options and most importantly, I get my money from them on time. They have signed a deal with Wagercom.com. So if you are looking for an online book, try them out. They are Jiggy tested and Jiggy approved.
|
To sign up to receive the Wagercom.com Newsletter w/ Jiggy's Free Picks click here.
|
Contact Jiggy at jiggy@wagercom.com or post your questions/comments on the Wagercom Message Board
|
