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JIGGY'S FREE NFL FOOTBALL PICKS
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Independently ranked the number one NFL picking site in 2007 (by BigGuy Sports Network)
Jiggy's 2009 Football Picks Season Record
Wins: 0 | Losses: 0 | Ties 0:
NFL Free Picks Winning Percentage: %
Contact Jiggy at jiggy@wagercom.com or post your questions/comments on the Wagercom Message Board
For those of you new to this football betting picks column, our expert NFL football handicapper Jiggy has had a money making 2003-2004, 2004-2005, 2005-2006, and 2007-2008 NFL season, posting a winning record on both his NFL football free picks and NFL Lock of the Week against the spread. Each week during the NFL season Jiggy will share his free winning NFL football picks as well as his entertaining take on the current happenings of the NFL.
FREE NFL PICKS -PRE-SEASON SUPER BOWL WINNER ODDS
When Jiggy attended college (community of course, because I am all about family and community) the end of the school year was always tough.
I would be giving my delicious, kosher salami to a coed (likely a heavy one, because that is how I rolled back in the day before I came to be a gambling sensation) all through the year. Come June, she would cry about the summer and whine about whether or not we would stay together when the new school year would begin. I would always coyly answer, ‘we’ll see baby, we’ll see.’
Summer would be long, hot and filled with failed romances – and then we’d return to the school. I would be emotionally prepared to cut the lady loose. I mean, she’d probably been lounging around a pool, eating hot dog on a stick and getting heavier. There is no way she would be as great as I remembered her. But then, TA-DOW, I’d see her from across the crowded quad (or whatever community colleges have that is equivalent to a quad) and she would be everything I remembered and more. And the anticipation would start to eat at me, like fire running through my veins. My life would be reduced to one singular objective – get back in her plus-sized pants.
And of course when we finally re-consumated our love – it was fireworks, it was Monet, it was hitting a 7-team parlay. It was bliss.
So, as last NFL Season ended, I wasn’t sure I would feel the flames within my loins when the season returned. And yet, here we are, and here I am. I am itching to get balls deep in a little NFL wagering this year. I am hankering for a teaser or two. I am all about hammering the morning games, cuddling with the afternoon game, doing some serious role playing with the Sunday game and finally having re-assuring nookie with the Monday Night game. I am pumped and I am jazzed.
First rule of wagering, only real addicts gamble on the pre-season. It is like my gramma always used to, say (may she rest in peace), “ Jiggy, don’t smoke crack, it’s a ghetto drug.” So we can have a little appetizer by talking Superbowl odds.
The Five Longest Shots
The Detroit Lions – 150:1 – These odds are really long – but they had better be. The Lions were perfect last season (0-16) and they will be better this year, but they won’t be significantly better. They went out and grabbed the number one QB in the draft – they had to. But now we hear that little Matthew Stafford is being given the keys to the jalopy on day one. That doesn’t bode well for Los Lions. I wouldn’t take these odds unless they were significantly higher – think 10,000:1 and I am not kidding.
St. Louis Rams – 80:1 – Wooo. The lambs are terrible. I mean really terrible. But are they almost twice as good as the Lions? I don’t think so. In fact, with a healthy Marc Boooger, they have a strong QB, an all world running back, an improved line and a middle of the pack defense. Now toss in the fact that they play in a very weak division (sorry Arizona, I am not a believer) and you have a somewhat compelling bet. Look, there is almost no chance that the lambs make it to the playoffs, let alone to the Superbowl, let alone win it. But are they 80:1 dogs? I might put a little money here – just because I think the bet isn’t terrible. But don’t spend the stripper money on this.
Cleveland Steamers – 75:1 – The Brownies just aren’t good. They do have the trappings of an interesting team; they will have a big name QB. They’ll have either, gay heartthrob, Brady Quinn (pronounced thquinn) or they will have legit baller, Derek Anderson. They still have Braylon Edwards and they have exciting rookie RB, James Davis. The defense reminds me of a Tijuana hooker, not the worst in the world, but certainly far from the best. The issue with the Brownies is that they CANNOT win their division (see Steelers and Ravens) and they also will drop four games per year to the two aforementioned teams. So they have to go 10-2 in their other games to have a realistic chance of making a wildcard spot. And that is with a schedule that includes Green Bay, Minny, SD and Oakland (just kidding about Oakland – though they do play them, it should be an easy win, even for the steamers.) So, even if they sweep Cincy and do some serious work in the rest of their schedule (all big ifs) they still may not make the playoffs, let alone go to the big dance.
 The Chefs (KC) – 75:1 – Don’t get Jiggy wrong, the chefs are abysmal but this is an interesting bet. The basic theory that runs through the previous paragraphs (and will run through the following paragraphs) is that once a team is in the playoffs, anything can happen (see AZ last year). So let’s see who can (with some luck and hard work) make the playoffs. The Chiefs are in that pot. They have a very weak division. The Raiders are a joke, the Broncos got rid of their best player (Cutler) and are having a marital spat with their next best (B. Marshall) so they look weak and then SD. San Diego is tough, offensively dope and defensively stout – but they struggled last year. So maybe the Chief make a little zig zag and get rolling toward the playoffs and then get hot. Hey, if you played the 2009-2010 season 75 times, they’d only have to win once for me to break even. Think about it.
The Bungles – 65:1 – This is just silly. They are just like the Brownies, except that they have an aging QB, weak receiving corps, interesting disaster in Cedric Benson (who could be alright) and a very fat, very injured first round pick. I would go long the Brownies and short the Bungles. Of note though, Jiggy loves him some Rey Maualuga.
The Five Favorites
Minny – 8:1 – I am not sold on Minny. I know, I know… blah, blah, blah All Day AP, blah, blah, blah Brett Favre, blah, blah, blah, Percy Harvin, blah, blah, blah Jared Allen and his merry bunch of purple people eaters. They were in the playoffs last year long enough to grab one beer. They will likely make the playoffs, they may have some excitement because of their veteran QB, but in the end, they just aren’t that good. They may not even win their division. So 8:1 isn’t good enough for me. I am throwing the overrated brand on them now.
Steel Curtain – 7:1 – This baffles me. How you gonna win the Super Bowl - arguably improve your team and then be the fourth most favored team to win it all. I am all over these guys. Gimme Big Ben, gimme the defensive player of the year, gimme, gimme, gimme. I may have to bet this one.
San Diego Super Chargers – 7:1 – Well stick a feather duster in my ass and call me a chicken. This don’t make no sense. You do have a good offense (though Jiggy called the end of Ladainian last year) and their defense does return Shawne Merriman. But Norv Turner ain’t going to bring a trophy back to “America’s Finest City.” I thing the Chargers are vastly overrated. As the NFL seems to always say, Show Me.
Eagles – 6.5:1 – Really? Ok. I suppose they did get Michael Vick. I kid. The Eagles are well coached, they have superior talent at many positions (I would like to see an upgrade at receiver) and they managed to draft a good backup for Westbrook. So who knows? They are the favorite from the NFC and why not. I will say that at 6.5:1 I am not sure I am getting appropriately paid for the risk.
 Gaytriots – 3:1 - This is ridiculous. For a team that didn’t make the playoffs to be the favorite to win it all (going away) is crazy. I know, they got the dreamiest guy in the universe back (and this time with Gisele Bundchen in tow) in Tom Brady. But let’s look back to the last year that old TB was healthy – oh yeah, they lost to the upstart NYGs. I do think they make the playoffs this year and likely go deep in them (like me going deep in Courtney Simpson) but 3:1 doesn’t adequately pay us for the gargantuan risk we are taking. So good luck if you like the Pats – but there are far better bets to make.
Other Interesting Notables
Green Bay at 25:1 looks tasty with Aaron Rodgers and a weakish division. They just need to improve the D! And I think they did.
Da Bears at 25:1 also – they got a new QB, a strong RB and a great defense.
Denver at 60:1 is a whole lotta odds for a team that could surprise us all.
Many of my fans ask me where I wager. I have a gambling problem so I bet on everything from the ponies to how long (in inches) my excrement is. But I have been a proud customer to superbook.com for some time. They have good lines, great promotions, many betting options and most importantly, I get my money from them on time. They have signed a deal with Wagercom.com. So if you are looking for an online book, try them out. They are Jiggy tested and Jiggy approved.
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